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Guotai Junan expects Hong Kong stocks to fluctuate upward in an N-shaped pattern next year to explore domestic demand and improve investment opportunities. Chen Ximiao, chief analyst of Guotai Junan's overseas strategy, said that looking forward to 2025, the disturbance factors in the Hong Kong stock market from the external environment will continue, and the pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve under overseas inflation, policy restrictions in areas such as strong US dollar and tariffs, and game friction among big countries will continue. However, the domestic policy thinking is clear, economic expectations are expected to stabilize under the financial impetus, and the profitability of molecular enterprises will improve, and the industrial chain will be able to cope with it. She said that in 2025, the sensitivity of the Hong Kong stock market to external shocks is expected to decline, and more attention should be paid to returning to its own logic. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, it is expected to be dominated by the upward pattern of N-shaped shocks, and there are many opportunities for flexibility during the stage. In 2025, we should still actively look for the structure, and focus on the barbell strategy to shift the weight of the two ends. We need to pay more attention to the configuration rhythm and pay attention to the repair opportunities of some domestic products.AKIRA AMARI, a former Japanese parliamentarian, said that relying on TSMC alone for high-end chips is the biggest risk.AKIRA AMARI, a former Japanese parliamentarian, said that relying on TSMC alone for high-end chips is the biggest risk.

According to the short-distance mode of Pudong Airport, Shanghai Hongqiao Hub will open a fast lane for short-distance taxis. On December 11th, the reporter learned from the Shanghai Transportation Department that in order to improve the overall service quality of taxis in Hongqiao Hub area and actively respond to drivers' concerns about waiting time, Shanghai Hongqiao Hub area will refer to the short-distance mode of Pudong Airport, and take the automatic comparison and identification of the system as the basis for identification. Cruise taxis that meet the short-distance conditions can directly go to the pick-up point through the short-distance fast dedicated lane. At present, the rental stations of Hongqiao Hub (Hongqiao Railway Station, Hongqiao Airport T2) have erected signs with the words "for short-distance return" respectively. (CCTV News)The Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council introduced the situation of the 2024 Shanghai-Taipei Twin Cities Forum. The Taiwan Affairs Office held a regular press conference. Spokesperson Zhu Fenglian said that it is understood that the 2024 Shanghai-Taipei Urban Forum will be held in Taipei on December 17, and Shanghai will send a delegation to Taiwan to attend the forum. With the theme of "Smart Governance for a Sustainable Future", the forum will promote the interactive exchanges between the two cities in terms of friendly transportation, river governance and humanistic cities. During the forum, the two cities will also sign a memorandum on exchanges and cooperation. We hope the forum will be successful.Vegetable oil rose by 2.08% on the 11th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by +2.08%, with a turnover of 727,500 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were net, and the difference position was 2,628 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 857,200 lots, an increase of 255,300 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 240,200 lots, an increase of 6,901 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 239,200 lots, a decrease of 1,059 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)

On the 11th, the glass fell by 1.20%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 11th, the main contract glass 2501 closed, up or down by -1.20%, with a turnover of 365,200 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 73,552 lots. The total turnover of glass futures contracts was 754,900 lots, a decrease of 1,229,700 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 600,900 lots, an increase of 3,641 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 707,300 lots, an increase of 13,900 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)Changhong Meiling: It plans to use its own idle funds not exceeding 6.35 billion yuan to invest in wealth management products. Changhong Meiling announced that in order to improve the efficiency of the company's use of funds, increase the company's cash assets income, and maximize the interests of shareholders, the company and its subsidiaries (excluding Zhongke Meiling Cryogenic Technology Co., Ltd. and its subsidiaries) will use their own idle funds not exceeding 6.35 billion yuan (this amount can be used in a rolling way) to invest and purchase products with high safety, good liquidity and a term of less than one year.With the intensive IPO process of domestic semiconductor companies, we can seize new opportunities in the semiconductor chip industry through the semiconductor ETF(512480). On December 11th, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed up 0.20% with a turnover of 1.29 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, the Cambrian led the rise, and Weir shares followed. In terms of decline, Zhongwei Company led the decline, and Haiguang Information followed suit. In the news, in the fourth quarter of 2024, the IPO acceptance review in science and technology innovation board has been accelerated, with 12 companies updating their review status, mostly in the semiconductor industry. According to industry insiders, from the current audit dynamics, materials, parts and components in the upstream of the industry, as well as AI chips in the design process, may be more popular in the future. Guojin Securities pointed out that semiconductor self-control is the general trend, and it is optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. CITIC Securities said that it is expected that the overall localization pace of the domestic semiconductor industry will be further accelerated, and the manufacturing sector is also expected to benefit. Investors can take advantage of the semiconductor ETF(512480) to grasp the new opportunities in the semiconductor chip industry.